US CPI eases in October, while SA’s consumers more resilient than expected

--:--
In this podcast, STANLIB Chief Economist Kevin Lings discusses US October CPI inflation data, which delivered a pleasant surprise, moderating from 3.7% to 3.2% y/y. This will give space to the US Federal Reserve not to increase rates any further, and it had a positive impact on markets. Turning to SA, Kevin discusses the fourth consecutive monthly increase in retail sales, which will support Q3 GDP growth, although underlying trends are concerning. He also analyses S&P’s decision to keep SA’s credit rating unchanged with a stable outlook, despite the deterioration in the fiscal parameters reflected in the recent MTBPS.
20 Nov 2023 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

STANLIB Enhanced Multi Style Equity Fund takes benchmark-beating positions in Q1 2024

The STANLIB Enhanced Multi Style Equity Fund, an active SA equity fund, outperforms its benchmark, the JSE’s Capped Swix Index, by taking rational decisions, says Rademeyer Vermaak, Head of STANLIB’s Systematic Solutions business. In Q1, the fund benefitted from its positioning in gold counters as well as its offshore holding…
1 May 11 min

STANLIB Multi-Asset aims for smoothed returns as equities set for bumpy gains in 2024

Marius Oberholzer, STANLIB’s Head of Multi-Asset, says trends are positive for equities in 2024, but the team is managing expected market volatility. Once interest rate cutting begins, corporate activity should accelerate and earnings growth should start to materialise. In SA, there are still risks, including the looming elections, but signs…
1 May 15 min

SA manufacturing declines sharply in March but electricity stabilises

SA’s manufacturing production data for March was shocking, down 2.2% m/m from -1% m/m in February, and down -6.4% y/y. This, together with weak mining and consumer data, is likely to translate into a very disappointing Q1 GDP outcome. However, the absence of load shedding in April could stimulate manufacturing…
13 May 4 min

Positive US labour market trends and SA’s energy supply stabilises

A range of recent US labour market data, including jobs created, the unemployment rate and wage growth, are encouraging signs of declining inflation and may lead to interest rate cuts. Equity and bond markets rallied after the data was released. If these trends continue, we expect that a US interest…
6 May 10 min