US labour market trends weaken, SA’s GDP picks up marginally

Loading player...
The US August labour market report was mixed. It showed an improvement in the unemployment rate to 4.2% from 4.3% in July, but the number of jobs created was below the monthly average. Whether the US Fed will cut interest rates by 25 bps or 50 bps later this month to stimulate the economy is under debate. STANLIB believes a 25 bps cut is most likely, followed by a series of others.
In Q2 2024, SA’s GDP grew by 0.4% q/q, better than the zero rate of growth in Q1, but still very weak. Growth was driven by higher electricity production, financial services and retail spending post-election. While there is no sign of broad-based growth, looming interest rate cuts, the cash released from the two-pot retirement system and public-private partnerships may stimulate the economy next year.
Click here to listen to the podcast.
9 Sep 2024 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

SA’s manufacturing industry: challenges, risks and opportunities

South Africa's manufacturing sector recorded modest growth of 1.1% month-on-month in May, but the longer-term picture remains concerning. Since the Covid-19 pandemic, the sector has contracted by 13.4%, raising important questions about the future of industrial production, employment and economic growth. In this episode, we explore the factors contributing to…
13 Jul 6 min

US employment growth vs SA's job losses explained

In this podcast, STANLIB Asset Management’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, examines the latest US and South African employment data, exploring why the US economy continues to create jobs while South Africa's formal sector employment remains under pressure. In June, the US added 57,000 non-farm jobs, supporting steady economic growth despite…
6 Jul 10 min

Why process matters when markets test your patience

Markets are constantly evolving, testing investor conviction through volatility, changing sentiment and short-term uncertainty. In these moments, a disciplined and systematic investment approach can help investors remain objective and focused on their long-term goals. In this episode, Rademeyer Vermaak, Head of Systematic Solutions at STANLIB Asset Management, talks to Jeremy…
25 Jun 22 min

New US Fed chair shakes up monetary policy

In this podcast, STANLIB’s chief economist, Kevin Lings, discusses South Africa’s May inflation rate, which increased by 4.5% year-on-year, mainly due to the fuel price. He notes, however, that there are few signs of secondary inflation effects in key categories. Kevin also unpacks some of the important changes to US…
22 Jun 16 min