US GDP in Q1 2025 declines but April employment beats expectations

Loading player...
US GDP dropped by -0.3% q/q in the first quarter of 2025, raising fears the economy is heading for a recession. The main reason was a 50% q/q increase in US imports in anticipation of tariff increases. However, it will take a couple of months before the impact of tariffs and consumers’ reaction to them will become fully evident. Latest US employment data, a critical gauge of the performance of the economy, shows 177 000 jobs were added in April, well above expectations, and the jobless rate was unchanged at 4.2%.
Click here to listen to the podcast.
5 May 2025 English South Africa Investing · Business News

Other recent episodes

No concerns for the Fed in US inflation; Chinese 2026 GDP growth hits 5%

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, focuses on latest US inflation and Chinese GDP data. US December headline inflation was unchanged at 2.7% y/y as shelter costs are moderating but food prices are rising. Inflation is less of a concern for the Fed than the labour market. In…
19 Jan 13 min

Markets shrug off geopolitical dramas in early 2026

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, unpacks recent geopolitical events, including the US intervention in Venezuela and its threatened moves into Greenland and Iran. Surprisingly, this has had little effect on financial markets. He also explores latest US employment data and why SA’s manufacturing output continues to struggle…
12 Jan 13 min

SA economy grows, but not fast enough; US small businesses struggle

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, unpacks SA’s GDP growth and the latest US ADP report on US private sector employment. The local economy grew by an encouraging 2.1% year on year, largely because historical data was revised higher, but he warned this is not a sustainable growth…
8 Dec 2025 10 min

SARB makes cautious 25 bps rate cut but next US rate cut is uncertain

In this podcast, STANLIB’s Chief Economist, Kevin Lings, considers the factors that are restraining SA’s inflation rate and have influenced the Reserve Bank in cutting the benchmark interest rate by 25 bps at its latest meeting. He also analyses latest US jobs data, which showed an increase in unemployment to…
24 Nov 2025 16 min